Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 40.363460 45.994099 52.158707 59.414033 67.726474 76.960762 88.008788
2024-12-15 35.599480 43.760494 53.417925 65.711900 80.980529 99.365208 123.250666
2024-12-22 31.037962 40.871814 53.362429 70.448945 93.308156 122.966956 164.583409
2024-12-29 27.988168 39.326184 54.723732 77.278291 109.677123 154.842814 223.121960
2025-01-05 24.483523 36.555186 54.011007 81.286272 123.201050 185.774250 287.385216
2025-01-12 20.712973 32.723542 51.138529 81.710142 131.776671 211.530609 350.185508
2025-01-19 17.829768 29.709860 48.961277 82.815512 141.728737 241.600382 427.043112
2025-01-26 16.125902 28.283435 49.064094 87.704137 159.039202 287.554449 542.139903
2025-02-02 14.791624 27.240725 49.631611 93.554618 179.393591 343.416568 689.469641
2025-02-09 13.197540 25.435971 48.520397 96.136112 194.320101 392.679986 837.026181
2025-02-16 11.440755 22.999459 45.786685 95.043742 201.844757 429.215088 968.229912
2025-02-23 9.984206 20.889717 43.310815 93.991254 209.291998 467.427065 1113.779251
2025-03-02 8.840803 19.260270 41.612822 94.488312 220.836796 518.678118 1307.671463
2025-03-09 7.972113 18.064253 40.631135 96.442644 236.396804 583.523104 1555.867049
2025-03-16 7.127826 16.766057 39.185845 97.042871 248.996233 644.796621 1815.004601
2025-03-23 6.614375 16.146975 39.210218 101.312913 272.164101 739.673435 2199.501132
2025-03-30 5.989834 15.139008 38.105091 102.468484 287.462875 817.854482 2562.365554
2025-04-06 5.268411 13.749662 35.777268 99.845175 291.654080 866.096122 2849.930576
2025-04-13 4.715424 12.696820 34.126851 98.762174 300.170280 929.822186 3211.753405
2025-04-20 4.422982 12.295986 34.167528 102.644500 325.013067 1051.767821 3820.940958
2025-04-27 4.202055 12.054467 34.613024 107.895369 355.802069 1202.604699 4594.742325
2025-05-04 3.884599 11.473167 33.964035 109.582838 375.362664 1321.606376 5294.972990
2025-05-11 3.489083 10.584323 32.224604 107.328200 380.796525 1392.541200 5831.511219